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Al Horford
Player Dossier

Al Horford

GSW · 2025-26Secondary starterHigh evidence
Connective passer · Roll/pop big · Spot-up spacer · Drop big · Switch big

What does Al Horford actually supply on the floor?

Al Horford's strongest evidenced functions are rebounding, rim protection, passing; the weakest available areas are rim pressure, shooting, interior finishing. The profile is tied to GSW for 2025-26.

Function profile

2025-26 — eleven separate readings on a league scale. They are not additive.
Creation58
Rim pressure39
Shooting52
Passing62
Screening*
Interior finish54
Point of attack*
Switch coverage*
Rim protection74
Event creation56
Rebounding74

* limited evidence for that function. A dash means the evidence was insufficient — not a zero. Use the separate function strengths to evaluate role and roster fit; do not treat them as one player-value score. POA or switch conclusions require lineup, matchup, and assignment evidence beyond this profile.

Season by season

Every governed season profile on record.
SeasonTeamRoleEvidenceCreationRim pressureShootingPassingScreeningInterior finishPoint of attackSwitch coverageRim protectionEvent creationRebounding
2025-26GSWSecondary starterHigh evidence5839526254745674
2024-25BOSHigh evidence4841535749603739633871
2023-24BOSHigh evidence5845697052624840614464
2022-23BOSHigh evidence5739756955494347733567
2021-22BOSHigh evidence6353576846595158755276
2020-21High evidence6242576162656156
2019-20PHIHigh evidence6944547061685065
2018-19BOSHigh evidence7354607867776252
2017-18BOSHigh evidence7248747761754171
2016-17BOSHigh evidence7050577460754759
2015-16ATLLimited evidence605354657952
2014-15ATLLimited evidence595448637659
2013-14ATLLimited evidence555651547357

What teams depended on him for

Seasons where a team's situation report named him a dependency case.
GSW · 2025-26Replacement lineup exists, with a performance cost

GSW had an observed replacement lineup for Al Horford, but it came with a performance cost. The supported alternative was [Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Quinten Post] at -1.7 adjusted net points per 100 possessions over 246 possessions.

rotation 25%loses 16.9% of rim protection
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Stephen Curry · Jimmy Butler III · Draymond Green · Moses Moody · Quinten Post

shrunk net -1.7350 over 246 possessions

on floor 1805 possessions · off floor 5445 possessions

BOS · 2024-25Single-skill dependence

BOS did not have strong functional backup for Al Horford in rebounding; removing him cost about 34.1% of the team's production in that area. The next observed option was Jaylen Brown.

rotation 45%loses 34.1% of rebounding
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Jrue Holiday · Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum · Derrick White · Luke Kornet

shrunk net 2.8420 over 165 possessions

on floor 3586 possessions · off floor 4417 possessions

BOS · 2023-24Observed replacement lineup exists

BOS had a supported lineup path without Al Horford: [Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White] at 8.2 adjusted net points per 100 possessions over 1317 possessions. This is an observed option, not proof it is universally better.

rotation 47%loses 12.9% of passing
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Jrue Holiday · Kristaps Porzingis · Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum · Derrick White

shrunk net 8.1700 over 1317 possessions

on floor 4161 possessions · off floor 4620 possessions

BOS · 2022-23No supported replacement lineup sample

BOS did not have a sufficiently supported observed replacement lineup for Al Horford. The database keeps the functional-loss evidence but does not invent a replacement plan.

rotation 51%loses 24.8% of rim protection
Replacement evidence

No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence.

on floor 4569 possessions · off floor 4428 possessions

BOS · 2021-22Player function-loss evidence unavailable

BOS did not have enough reliable function-loss evidence to judge dependence on Al Horford.

rotation 55%
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Marcus Smart · Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum · Robert Williams III · Grant Williams

shrunk net 7.0820 over 261 possessions

on floor 5009 possessions · off floor 4054 possessions

OKC · 2020-21Player function-loss evidence unavailable

OKC did not have enough reliable function-loss evidence to judge dependence on Al Horford.

Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Darius Bazley · Moses Brown · Luguentz Dort · Theo Maledon · Aleksej Pokusevski

shrunk net -3.3770 over 151 possessions

on floor 1451 possessions · off floor 5072 possessions

PHI · 2019-20No supported replacement lineup sample

PHI did not have a sufficiently supported observed replacement lineup for Al Horford. The database keeps the functional-loss evidence but does not invent a replacement plan.

rotation 58%loses 21.9% of passing
Replacement evidence

No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence.

on floor 3890 possessions · off floor 2753 possessions

BOS · 2018-19Observed replacement lineup exists

BOS had a supported lineup path without Al Horford: [Gordon Hayward, Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, Daniel Theis] at 5.0 adjusted net points per 100 possessions over 158 possessions. This is an observed option, not proof it is universally better.

rotation 52%loses 21.1% of passing
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Gordon Hayward · Terry Rozier · Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum · Daniel Theis

shrunk net 5.0280 over 158 possessions

on floor 4264 possessions · off floor 3869 possessions

BOS · 2017-18No supported replacement lineup sample

BOS did not have a sufficiently supported observed replacement lineup for Al Horford. The database keeps the functional-loss evidence but does not invent a replacement plan.

rotation 60%loses 31.0% of passing
Replacement evidence

No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence.

on floor 5201 possessions · off floor 3397 possessions

BOS · 2016-17Observed replacement lineup exists

BOS had a supported lineup path without Al Horford: [Jonas Jerebko, Kelly Olynyk, Marcus Smart, Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown] at 2.2 adjusted net points per 100 possessions over 182 possessions. This is an observed option, not proof it is universally better.

rotation 58%loses 21.1% of passing
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Jonas Jerebko · Kelly Olynyk · Marcus Smart · Terry Rozier · Jaylen Brown

shrunk net 2.1810 over 182 possessions

on floor 5022 possessions · off floor 3576 possessions

ATL · 2015-16Player function-loss evidence unavailable

ATL did not have enough reliable function-loss evidence to judge dependence on Al Horford.

Replacement evidence

No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence.

on floor 5397 possessions · off floor 2553 possessions

ATL · 2014-15Player function-loss evidence unavailable

ATL did not have enough reliable function-loss evidence to judge dependence on Al Horford.

Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Kyle Korver · Paul Millsap · Jeff Teague · DeMarre Carroll · Pero Antic

shrunk net 4.8330 over 259 possessions

on floor 5027 possessions · off floor 3111 possessions

ATL · 2013-14Player function-loss evidence unavailable

ATL did not have enough reliable function-loss evidence to judge dependence on Al Horford.

Replacement evidence
Best observed five without him

Elton Brand · Kyle Korver · Paul Millsap · Jeff Teague · DeMarre Carroll

shrunk net 5.1270 over 356 possessions

on floor 1679 possessions · off floor 5781 possessions

Known contract calendar

Governed contract events naming this player — dates carry their honest quality.

No governed contract-calendar events name this player.

Function scores, roles, dependence records and contract events are separate evidence. No combined player value, trade value or ranking is computed from them, and none of them is a causal impact claim.