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Orlando Magic

2024-25
2016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222022-232023-242024-252025-26
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When several roster decisions share a planning window, where do basketball, roster, reported salary, cap, trade, exception and draft constraints overlap?

ORL has 3 multi-player planning windows and 12 fully enumerated conditional branch combinations. Overlap counts identify review pressure, not preferred outcomes.

Cory Joseph + Gary HarrisAnthony Black + Jett HowardGoga Bitadze + Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Anthony Black + Jett Howard

A planning window — decisions sharing a staff planning date, never a claimed simultaneous deadline.

ORL has 2 actionable player decisions sharing the 2025-07-01 planning anchor. All 4 bounded branch combinations are enumerated for stress testing, but the anchor is not claimed as an exact simultaneous contract deadline.

2 decisions4 enumerated combinationsanchor Jul 1, 2025simultaneous execution not claimed
Multi-decision planning window — exact deadlines unresolvedCap position observed; no apron trigger

Scenario explorer

Every enumerated combination, grouped by what it does to the roster. None is recommended.
Retain or continue all1 combination
keeps 2 · exits/defers 0AB

ORL scenario 0 keeps or continues 2 decisions and exits or defers 0. It exposes overlapping planning work, not a recommended or legally executable roster plan.

Extension agreed ×2

Planning scenario — some salary, basketball or asset evidence is missing
Constraint lanes and evidence gaps
Basketball: 2 supported dependence case(s)Roster spots: 2 stay occupiedReported salary: 2 with unknown salary effectCurrent cap context: Cap position observed; no apron triggerFuture cap: Future salary, tax, apron and cap room require a fresh calculationCBA legality: Combined CBA legality of executing these decisions together is unresolvedMarket price: Market price, counterparty willingness and replacement cost are unresolvedException reference: 0 visible · 2 withheldDraft capital: 2 visible · 0 withheldProbability: No probability estimated
Named evidence gaps
  • Exact decision timing unresolved
  • Salary consequence incomplete
  • Current exception wallet unavailable
  • Combined cba legality unresolved
  • Scenario probability not estimated
  • Basketball outcome not evaluated
Mixed keep-and-exit combination2 combinations
keeps 1 · exits/defers 1AB

ORL scenario 1 keeps or continues 1 decisions and exits or defers 1. It exposes overlapping planning work, not a recommended or legally executable roster plan.

Extension agreed ×1 · No extension recorded ×1

Planning scenario — some salary, basketball or asset evidence is missing
Constraint lanes and evidence gaps
Basketball: 2 supported dependence case(s)Roster spots: 1 stay occupied · 1 unchangedReported salary: 2 with unknown salary effectCurrent cap context: Cap position observed; no apron triggerFuture cap: Future salary, tax, apron and cap room require a fresh calculationCBA legality: Combined CBA legality of executing these decisions together is unresolvedMarket price: Market price, counterparty willingness and replacement cost are unresolvedException reference: 0 visible · 2 withheldDraft capital: 2 visible · 0 withheldProbability: No probability estimated
Named evidence gaps
  • Exact decision timing unresolved
  • Salary consequence incomplete
  • Current exception wallet unavailable
  • Combined cba legality unresolved
  • Scenario probability not estimated
  • Basketball outcome not evaluated
keeps 1 · exits/defers 1AB

ORL scenario 2 keeps or continues 1 decisions and exits or defers 1. It exposes overlapping planning work, not a recommended or legally executable roster plan.

Extension agreed ×1 · No extension recorded ×1

Planning scenario — some salary, basketball or asset evidence is missing
Constraint lanes and evidence gaps
Basketball: 2 supported dependence case(s)Roster spots: 1 stay occupied · 1 unchangedReported salary: 2 with unknown salary effectCurrent cap context: Cap position observed; no apron triggerFuture cap: Future salary, tax, apron and cap room require a fresh calculationCBA legality: Combined CBA legality of executing these decisions together is unresolvedMarket price: Market price, counterparty willingness and replacement cost are unresolvedException reference: 0 visible · 2 withheldDraft capital: 2 visible · 0 withheldProbability: No probability estimated
Named evidence gaps
  • Exact decision timing unresolved
  • Salary consequence incomplete
  • Current exception wallet unavailable
  • Combined cba legality unresolved
  • Scenario probability not estimated
  • Basketball outcome not evaluated
Exit or defer everything1 combination
keeps 0 · exits/defers 2AB

ORL scenario 3 keeps or continues 0 decisions and exits or defers 2. It exposes overlapping planning work, not a recommended or legally executable roster plan.

No extension recorded ×2

Planning scenario — some salary, basketball or asset evidence is missing
Constraint lanes and evidence gaps
Basketball: 2 supported dependence case(s)Roster spots: 0 stay occupied · 2 unchangedReported salary: 2 with unknown salary effectCurrent cap context: Cap position observed; no apron triggerFuture cap: Future salary, tax, apron and cap room require a fresh calculationCBA legality: Combined CBA legality of executing these decisions together is unresolvedMarket price: Market price, counterparty willingness and replacement cost are unresolvedException reference: 0 visible · 2 withheldDraft capital: 2 visible · 0 withheldProbability: No probability estimated
Named evidence gaps
  • Exact decision timing unresolved
  • Salary consequence incomplete
  • Current exception wallet unavailable
  • Combined cba legality unresolved
  • Scenario probability not estimated
  • Basketball outcome not evaluated

What the scenarios cannot prove

Where the constraint lanes refuse a conclusion across these scenarios.
0draft capital abstentions
9reported salary abstentions
12exception wallet abstentions
2basketball replacement abstentions

Shared planning anchors are staff workflow dates, not automatically exact simultaneous contract deadlines.

All bounded branch combinations are enumerated; none is assigned a probability or recommendation.

Player-specific possessions and ratings are not summed across players.

Only directly reported option salary is added across decisions.

Every scenario needs a new dated cap, roster, trade and CBA execution test.

Prior exception receipts are reference evidence, not the scenario wallet.

Scenario branches do not alter pick ownership or prove tradability.

Team-season counts summarize conditional branch-space coverage. They are not probabilities, rankings, cap projections, legal opinions or front-office grades.