What roster decisions are approaching, who controls them, which dates are supported, and what evidence should trigger review?
MIA has 7 governed near-term core contract event(s): 1 player option(s), 0 team option(s), and 6 contract horizon(s). 0 event date(s) are unresolved. The six review domains remain separate and do not choose a roster direction.
PartialPartial contract identity coverage7 events · 7 dated · 0 unresolved · 11 core players · 8 contracts
1Player options
0Team options
6Extension reviews
2Guarantee reviews
6Contract horizons
The calendar
Same-day events are grouped, not sequenced — the database does not invent an order.
P.J. TuckerPlayer option decisionOutside date, not a contract deadlinereported $10.5Mplayer decidesP.J. Tucker has a reported player option for the 2023 season at a reported $10,490,000. Player controls the option. The stored date is the CBA outside date; the contract may require an earlier decision.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Ordinary option outside date available contract deadline unresolvedOption evidence: Single-source reported optionGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: not triggeredContract runs through the 2023 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 51%Dependence: Lineup performance dependency
Caleb MartinContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionCaleb Martin has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2022 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (57.5%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: triggered — candidate date Oct 19, 2021Contract runs through the 2022 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 33%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Jun 30, 2023
4 same-day events, unordered
Gabe VincentContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionGabe Vincent has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2023 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 42%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Jimmy Butler IIIContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionJimmy Butler III has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 6, 2021Contract runs through the 2023 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 53%Dependence: Lineup performance dependency
Max StrusContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionMax Strus has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2023 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 44%Dependence: Lineup performance dependency
P.J. TuckerContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decision P.J. Tucker has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2023 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 51%Dependence: Lineup performance dependency
Kyle LowryContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionKyle Lowry has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2024 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggered — candidate date Aug 6, 2023Contract runs through the 2024 season2 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 50%Dependence: Observed replacement path
What should trigger a review
Six separate review domains. They flag what deserves attention; none chooses a roster direction.BasketballSupported
MIA has 3 material basketball problem(s). This trigger asks whether the roster or internal development plan addresses them.
observed Jun 30, 2022
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 28.79result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 7near expirations: 5unique contracts: 8extension reviews: 6threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Withheld — No future pick control rowsunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 0veteran core salary share: 0.5744partial or zero guarantees: 2material basketball problems: 3repeated availability problems: 4
AvailabilitySupported
MIA has 4 repeated recent availability problem(s). This is a health/continuity review, not a player-value judgment.
observed Jun 30, 2022
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 28.79result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 7near expirations: 5unique contracts: 8extension reviews: 6threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Withheld — No future pick control rowsunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 0veteran core salary share: 0.5744partial or zero guarantees: 2material basketball problems: 3repeated availability problems: 4
Cap positionSupported
MIA is classified as over cap below tax on selected player charges on selected player charges. Exact transaction-date legality remains a separate calculation.
observed Jun 30, 2022
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 28.79result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 7near expirations: 5unique contracts: 8extension reviews: 6threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Withheld — No future pick control rowsunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 0veteran core salary share: 0.5744partial or zero guarantees: 2material basketball problems: 3repeated availability problems: 4
Draft controlWithheld
MIA has 0 dated future-pick control row(s), with status abstain no future pick control rows. Control is not confirmed tradability.
observed Jun 30, 2022
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 28.79result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 7near expirations: 5unique contracts: 8extension reviews: 6threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Withheld — No future pick control rowsunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 0veteran core salary share: 0.5744partial or zero guarantees: 2material basketball problems: 3repeated availability problems: 4
Contract calendarPartial
MIA has 7 near-term core contract event(s): 1 player option(s), 0 team option(s), and 5 horizon(s) within one season. 0 event date(s) remain unresolved.
observed Jun 30, 2022 · review by Jun 29, 2022
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 28.79result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 7near expirations: 5unique contracts: 8extension reviews: 6threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Withheld — No future pick control rowsunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 0veteran core salary share: 0.5744partial or zero guarantees: 2material basketball problems: 3repeated availability problems: 4
Competitive timelineSupported
MIA has strong regular season results results and a rotation-weighted core age of 28.8. The timeline trigger does not decide whether to contend or reset.
observed Jun 30, 2022
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 28.79result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 7near expirations: 5unique contracts: 8extension reviews: 6threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Withheld — No future pick control rowsunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 0veteran core salary share: 0.5744partial or zero guarantees: 2material basketball problems: 3repeated availability problems: 4
A June 29 option date is a CBA outside date, not proof that the contract lacks an earlier negotiated deadline.
A June 30 contract horizon is a season-boundary planning proxy, not certified free-agent status.
An extension review trigger does not certify eligibility, price, player willingness or outcome.
Historical pick control is not confirmed tradability.
No trigger is an automatic recommendation.
The summary counts calendar events and exposes six separate trigger domains. It does not blend basketball, health, contracts, cap, draft, intent, legality, market value or outcomes into a score.
