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Boston Celtics

2017-18
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Latest available releaseEvidence released Aug 22, 2026, 8:30 PM UTCLive database

What were the Boston Celtics in 2017-18, and what needed front-office attention?

BOS 2017-18: no supported structural problem was identified. The strongest covered areas were Shooting and spacing, Rebounding, Interior finishing. The main rotation-player dependency cases were Marcus Smart, Aron Baynes. Structural basketball need, injuries, replacement lineups, and financial constraints are reported separately.

CoveragePartial8 supported · 3 withheld
Cap positionOver the cap, below the tax line, on selected player charges
Next decision dateNo calendar release at this as-of time

What can be trusted

Supported strengths — production, who carries it, and what money is already committed.
Shooting and spacing
100th percentile
Jayson Tatum carries 23.5%
Availability: No governed recent availability evidence for this seasonMoney: Heavy or redundant salary already committed here
Full reading

BOS 2017-18 Shooting and spacing: this was a team strength; production ranked at the 100.0 league percentile. Jayson Tatum supplied 23.5% of the team's above-replacement production in this area. No governed recent game-level availability layer exists for this season. The team already committed substantial or redundant cap resources here.

Rebounding
82nd percentile
Al Horford carries 29.1%
Availability: No governed recent availability evidence for this seasonMoney: Balanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Full reading

BOS 2017-18 Rebounding: this was a team strength; production ranked at the 81.5 league percentile. Al Horford supplied 29.1% of the team's above-replacement production in this area. No governed recent game-level availability layer exists for this season. Financial commitment is shown separately and does not determine basketball quality.

Interior finishing
78th percentile
Jayson Tatum carries 20.6%
Availability: No governed recent availability evidence for this seasonMoney: Heavy or redundant salary already committed here
Full reading

BOS 2017-18 Interior finishing: this was a team strength; production ranked at the 77.8 league percentile. Jayson Tatum supplied 20.6% of the team's above-replacement production in this area. No governed recent game-level availability layer exists for this season. The team already committed substantial or redundant cap resources here.

What needs attention

The clearest roster problems the evidence supports.

No supported roster problems are on record for this season — team picture available; recent availability layer unavailable.

Every covered basketball function (11)
FunctionReadingLeague percentileLargest contributorRecent availabilitySalary commitment
CreationSupportedMiddle of the league67th percentileAl Horford · 26.0%No recent availability layer for this seasonHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Defensive event creationSupportedMiddle of the league44th percentileJayson Tatum · 23.5%No recent availability layer for this seasonBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Interior finishingSupportedTeam strength78th percentileJayson Tatum · 20.6%No recent availability layer for this seasonHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Passing connectivitySupportedMiddle of the league59th percentileAl Horford · 31.0%No recent availability layer for this seasonHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Point-of-attack defense proxyWithheldBasketball conclusion withheldTerry RozierNo recent availability layer for this seasonBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
ReboundingSupportedTeam strength82nd percentileAl Horford · 29.1%No recent availability layer for this seasonBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Rim pressureSupportedMiddle of the league26th percentileJayson Tatum · 35.2%No recent availability layer for this seasonBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Rim protectionSupportedMiddle of the league41st percentileAl Horford · 36.1%No recent availability layer for this seasonHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
ScreeningWithheldBasketball conclusion withheldTerry RozierNo recent availability layer for this seasonBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Shooting and spacingSupportedTeam strength100th percentileJayson Tatum · 23.5%No recent availability layer for this seasonHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Switch coverage proxyWithheldBasketball conclusion withheldTerry RozierNo recent availability layer for this seasonBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment

Who the team depends on

What disappears when a player is removed — and whether an observed replacement five exists.
Marcus Smart
Lineup performance dependence

BOS lineups performed 4.3 points per 100 possessions better with Marcus Smart than without him. The best supported alternative was [Al Horford, Kyrie Irving, Aron Baynes, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum] over 649 possessions.

rotation 42%loses 22.9% of passing connectivity
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without Marcus Smart

Al Horford · Kyrie Irving · Aron Baynes · Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum

shrunk net 7.563 over 649 possessions

on floor 3,606 possessions · off floor 4,982 possessions

Aron Baynes
Lineup performance dependence

BOS lineups performed 3.0 points per 100 possessions better with Aron Baynes than without him. The best supported alternative was [Al Horford, Marcus Morris Sr., Terry Rozier, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum] over 245 possessions.

rotation 38%loses 18.8% of rim protection
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without Aron Baynes

Al Horford · Marcus Morris Sr. · Terry Rozier · Jaylen Brown · Jayson Tatum

shrunk net 0.545 over 245 possessions — small sample

on floor 3,326 possessions · off floor 5,272 possessions

Function loss, lineup performance, and replacement-lineup evidence remain separate; none is causal player value.

What injuries change

Recent absences and the basketball needs they created or worsened.

No governed recent game-level availability layer exists for this season.

Where money is tied up

Cap position and salary allocation — shown beside the basketball picture, never blended into it.
WithheldThe team was over the cap but below the tax on selected player charges; exception detail remains withheld.
Selected player charges
$115.3M
Share of cap
116%
Tax line
$3.98M under
First apron
$9.98M under
Second apron
No governed line that season

Most salary is mapped to interior finishing; the highest-need area is defensive event creation. Salary-to-function mapping covers 96% of charges.

Exact figures
Salary cap: $99,093,000Luxury tax line: $119,266,000First apron: $125,266,000Second apron: Selected player charges: $115,284,776Source-reported payroll: $115,284,776 (source-named payroll total; not relabeled as cash or cap)

Exact transaction legality withheld — no exception-usage, cap-hold, and transaction ledger evidence.

What the evidence cannot answer

Deliberate abstentions — where the database refuses a conclusion rather than guessing.
PartialTeam picture available; recent availability layer unavailable8 of 11 functions supported
  • Point-of-attack defense proxy: Basketball conclusion withheld
  • Screening: Basketball conclusion withheld
  • Switch coverage proxy: Basketball conclusion withheld

Exact transaction legality: Exact transaction legality withheld — no exception-usage, cap-hold, and transaction ledger evidence

Team-season situation report. Structural basketball quality, recent availability, player dependence, replacement lineups, and financial position remain separate. No acquisition recommendation, transaction grade, coaching grade, outcome claim, or causal value is inferred.