What roster decisions are approaching, who controls them, which dates are supported, and what evidence should trigger review?
HOU has 13 governed near-term core contract event(s): 0 player option(s), 4 team option(s), and 9 contract horizon(s). 2 event date(s) are unresolved. The six review domains remain separate and do not choose a roster direction.
PartialNear term calendar with unresolved dates13 events · 11 dated · 2 unresolved · 11 core players · 9 contracts
0Player options
4Team options
8Extension reviews
5Guarantee reviews
9Contract horizons
The calendar
Same-day events are grouped, not sequenced — the database does not invent an order.Jun 29, 2025
2 same-day events, unordered
Aaron HolidayTeam option decisionOutside date, not a contract deadlinereported $4.90Mteam decidesAaron Holiday has a reported team option for the 2026 season at a reported $4,901,400. Team controls the option. The stored date is the CBA outside date; the contract may require an earlier decision.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Ordinary option outside date available contract deadline unresolvedOption evidence: Single-source reported optionGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: not triggeredContract runs through the 2026 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 19%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Fred VanVleetTeam option decisionOutside date, not a contract deadlinereported $44.9Mteam decidesFred VanVleet has a reported team option for the 2026 season at a reported $44,886,930. Team controls the option. The stored date is the CBA outside date; the contract may require an earlier decision.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Ordinary option outside date available contract deadline unresolvedOption evidence: Multi source explicit optionGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: not triggeredContract runs through the 2026 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 56%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Jun 30, 2025
2 same-day events, unordered
Alperen SengunContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionAlperen Sengun has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2025 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (99.4%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: triggered — candidate date Aug 6, 2023Contract runs through the 2025 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 62%Dependence: No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence
Steven AdamsContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionSteven Adams has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2025 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2025 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 22%Dependence: Lineup performance dependency
Jun 30, 2026
3 same-day events, unordered
Aaron HolidayContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decision Aaron Holiday has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2026 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2026 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 19%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Fred VanVleetContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decision Fred VanVleet has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2026 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 7, 2025Contract runs through the 2026 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 56%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Tari EasonContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionTari Eason has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2026 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (99.1%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 1, 2024Contract runs through the 2026 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 36%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Jun 30, 2027
3 same-day events, unordered
Amen ThompsonContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionAmen Thompson has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2027 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Guarantee amount without comparable totalGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 3, 2025Contract runs through the 2027 season2 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 57%Dependence: Single-skill dependence
Cam WhitmoreContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionCam Whitmore has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2027 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 3, 2025Contract runs through the 2027 season2 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 20%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Dillon BrooksContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionDillon Brooks has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2027 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 8, 2025Contract runs through the 2027 season2 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 60%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Reed SheppardContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionReed Sheppard has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2028 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. No extension-review trigger is applied yet.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (69.4%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: not triggered — candidate date Jul 2, 2026Contract runs through the 2028 season3 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 15%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Date unavailable
2 same-day events, unordered
Reed SheppardTeam option decisionDate unavailablereported $14.0Mteam decides Reed Sheppard has a reported team option for the 2028 season at a reported $14,041,624. Team controls the option. The exact decision date is unresolved.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Rookie scale team option observed exact deadline unresolvedOption evidence: Single-source reported optionGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (69.4%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure visible; exact decision date unavailableExtension review: not triggeredContract runs through the 2028 season3 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 15%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Reed SheppardTeam option decisionDate unavailablereported $11.1Mteam decides Reed Sheppard has a reported team option for the 2027 season at a reported $11,108,880. Team controls the option. The exact decision date is unresolved.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Rookie scale team option observed exact deadline unresolvedOption evidence: Single-source reported optionGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (69.4%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure visible; exact decision date unavailableExtension review: not triggeredContract runs through the 2028 season3 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 15%Dependence: Observed replacement path
What should trigger a review
Six separate review domains. They flag what deserves attention; none chooses a roster direction.BasketballSupported
HOU has 2 material basketball problem(s). This trigger asks whether the roster or internal development plan addresses them.
observed Jun 30, 2025
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 24.89result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 4player options: 0calendar events: 13near expirations: 5unique contracts: 9extension reviews: 8threshold position: First to second apron on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 2future pick control rows: 6veteran core salary share: 0.4063partial or zero guarantees: 5material basketball problems: 2repeated availability problems: 2
AvailabilitySupported
HOU has 2 repeated recent availability problem(s). This is a health/continuity review, not a player-value judgment.
observed Jun 30, 2025
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 24.89result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 4player options: 0calendar events: 13near expirations: 5unique contracts: 9extension reviews: 8threshold position: First to second apron on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 2future pick control rows: 6veteran core salary share: 0.4063partial or zero guarantees: 5material basketball problems: 2repeated availability problems: 2
Cap positionSupported
HOU is classified as first to second apron on selected player charges on selected player charges. Exact transaction-date legality remains a separate calculation.
observed Jun 30, 2025
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 24.89result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 4player options: 0calendar events: 13near expirations: 5unique contracts: 9extension reviews: 8threshold position: First to second apron on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 2future pick control rows: 6veteran core salary share: 0.4063partial or zero guarantees: 5material basketball problems: 2repeated availability problems: 2
Draft controlPartial
HOU has 6 dated future-pick control row(s), with status provisional future pick control tradability unresolved. Control is not confirmed tradability.
observed Jun 30, 2025
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 24.89result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 4player options: 0calendar events: 13near expirations: 5unique contracts: 9extension reviews: 8threshold position: First to second apron on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 2future pick control rows: 6veteran core salary share: 0.4063partial or zero guarantees: 5material basketball problems: 2repeated availability problems: 2
Contract calendarPartial
HOU has 13 near-term core contract event(s): 0 player option(s), 4 team option(s), and 5 horizon(s) within one season. 2 event date(s) remain unresolved.
observed Jun 30, 2025 · review by Jun 29, 2025
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 24.89result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 4player options: 0calendar events: 13near expirations: 5unique contracts: 9extension reviews: 8threshold position: First to second apron on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 2future pick control rows: 6veteran core salary share: 0.4063partial or zero guarantees: 5material basketball problems: 2repeated availability problems: 2
Competitive timelineSupported
HOU has strong regular season results results and a rotation-weighted core age of 24.9. The timeline trigger does not decide whether to contend or reset.
observed Jun 30, 2025
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 24.89result band: Strong regular season resultscore players: 11team options: 4player options: 0calendar events: 13near expirations: 5unique contracts: 9extension reviews: 8threshold position: First to second apron on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 2future pick control rows: 6veteran core salary share: 0.4063partial or zero guarantees: 5material basketball problems: 2repeated availability problems: 2
A June 29 option date is a CBA outside date, not proof that the contract lacks an earlier negotiated deadline.
A June 30 contract horizon is a season-boundary planning proxy, not certified free-agent status.
An extension review trigger does not certify eligibility, price, player willingness or outcome.
Historical pick control is not confirmed tradability.
No trigger is an automatic recommendation.
The summary counts calendar events and exposes six separate trigger domains. It does not blend basketball, health, contracts, cap, draft, intent, legality, market value or outcomes into a score.
