What roster decisions are approaching, who controls them, which dates are supported, and what evidence should trigger review?
MIL has 4 governed near-term core contract event(s): 0 player option(s), 0 team option(s), and 4 contract horizon(s). 0 event date(s) are unresolved. The six review domains remain separate and do not choose a roster direction.
PartialPartial contract identity coverage4 events · 4 dated · 0 unresolved · 12 core players · 4 contracts
0Player options
0Team options
3Extension reviews
1Guarantee reviews
4Contract horizons
The calendar
Same-day events are grouped, not sequenced — the database does not invent an order.
Pat ConnaughtonContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionPat Connaughton has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2020 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2020 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 35%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Jun 30, 2021
2 same-day events, unordered
Giannis AntetokounmpoContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionGiannis Antetokounmpo has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2021 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: triggered — candidate date Sep 19, 2018Contract runs through the 2021 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 55%Dependence: Lineup performance dependency
Robin LopezContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionRobin Lopez has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2021 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (48.6%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2021 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 24%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Brook LopezContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionBrook Lopez has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. No extension-review trigger is applied yet.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: not triggered — candidate date Jul 6, 2021Contract runs through the 2023 season3 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 54%Dependence: No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence
What should trigger a review
Six separate review domains. They flag what deserves attention; none chooses a roster direction.BasketballSupported
MIL has 0 material basketball problem(s). This trigger asks whether the roster or internal development plan addresses them.
observed Jun 30, 2020
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 29.76result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 12team options: 0player options: 0calendar events: 4near expirations: 3unique contracts: 4extension reviews: 3threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 1veteran core salary share: 0.4662partial or zero guarantees: 1material basketball problems: 0repeated availability problems: 0
AvailabilityWithheld
MIL has 0 repeated recent availability problem(s). This is a health/continuity review, not a player-value judgment.
observed Jun 30, 2020
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 29.76result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 12team options: 0player options: 0calendar events: 4near expirations: 3unique contracts: 4extension reviews: 3threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 1veteran core salary share: 0.4662partial or zero guarantees: 1material basketball problems: 0repeated availability problems: 0
Cap positionSupported
MIL is classified as over cap below tax on selected player charges on selected player charges. Exact transaction-date legality remains a separate calculation.
observed Jun 30, 2020
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 29.76result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 12team options: 0player options: 0calendar events: 4near expirations: 3unique contracts: 4extension reviews: 3threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 1veteran core salary share: 0.4662partial or zero guarantees: 1material basketball problems: 0repeated availability problems: 0
Draft controlPartial
MIL has 1 dated future-pick control row(s), with status provisional future pick control tradability unresolved. Control is not confirmed tradability.
observed Jun 30, 2020
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 29.76result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 12team options: 0player options: 0calendar events: 4near expirations: 3unique contracts: 4extension reviews: 3threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 1veteran core salary share: 0.4662partial or zero guarantees: 1material basketball problems: 0repeated availability problems: 0
Contract calendarPartial
MIL has 4 near-term core contract event(s): 0 player option(s), 0 team option(s), and 3 horizon(s) within one season. 0 event date(s) remain unresolved.
observed Jun 30, 2020 · review by Jun 30, 2020
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 29.76result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 12team options: 0player options: 0calendar events: 4near expirations: 3unique contracts: 4extension reviews: 3threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 1veteran core salary share: 0.4662partial or zero guarantees: 1material basketball problems: 0repeated availability problems: 0
Competitive timelineSupported
MIL has elite regular season results results and a rotation-weighted core age of 29.8. The timeline trigger does not decide whether to contend or reset.
observed Jun 30, 2020
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 29.76result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 12team options: 0player options: 0calendar events: 4near expirations: 3unique contracts: 4extension reviews: 3threshold position: Over the cap, below the tax line, on selected player chargesdraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 1veteran core salary share: 0.4662partial or zero guarantees: 1material basketball problems: 0repeated availability problems: 0
A June 29 option date is a CBA outside date, not proof that the contract lacks an earlier negotiated deadline.
A June 30 contract horizon is a season-boundary planning proxy, not certified free-agent status.
An extension review trigger does not certify eligibility, price, player willingness or outcome.
Historical pick control is not confirmed tradability.
No trigger is an automatic recommendation.
The summary counts calendar events and exposes six separate trigger domains. It does not blend basketball, health, contracts, cap, draft, intent, legality, market value or outcomes into a score.
