What roster decisions are approaching, who controls them, which dates are supported, and what evidence should trigger review?
MIL has 8 governed near-term core contract event(s): 1 player option(s), 0 team option(s), and 7 contract horizon(s). 0 event date(s) are unresolved. The six review domains remain separate and do not choose a roster direction.
PartialPartial contract identity coverage8 events · 8 dated · 0 unresolved · 11 core players · 7 contracts
1Player options
0Team options
6Extension reviews
3Guarantee reviews
7Contract horizons
The calendar
Same-day events are grouped, not sequenced — the database does not invent an order.
Khris MiddletonPlayer option decisionOutside date, not a contract deadlinereported $29.3Mplayer decidesKhris Middleton has a reported player option for the 2024 season at a reported $29,320,988. Player controls the option. The stored date is the CBA outside date; the contract may require an earlier decision.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Ordinary option outside date available contract deadline unresolvedOption evidence: Single-source reported optionGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (77.2%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure visible; exact decision date unavailableExtension review: not triggeredContract runs through the 2024 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 23%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Jun 30, 2023
4 same-day events, unordered
Brook LopezContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionBrook Lopez has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 6, 2021Contract runs through the 2023 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 61%Dependence: No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence
Joe InglesContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionJoe Ingles has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2023 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 27%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Pat ConnaughtonContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionPat Connaughton has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggered — candidate date Nov 23, 2022Contract runs through the 2023 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 37%Dependence: Lineup performance dependency
Wesley MatthewsContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionWesley Matthews has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2023 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Fully guaranteed at signing (100.0%)Guarantee review: Not applicableExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2023 season0 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 21%Dependence: Observed replacement path
Jun 30, 2024
2 same-day events, unordered
Grayson AllenContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionGrayson Allen has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2024 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Withheld — No consensus guarantee amountGuarantee review: Withheld — Guarantee structure incompleteExtension review: triggeredContract runs through the 2024 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 51%Dependence: No replacement lineup is supported by the available evidence
Khris MiddletonContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decision Khris Middleton has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2024 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. The player is inside the two-season extension-review horizon, but exact eligibility and value are not certified.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (77.2%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: triggered — candidate date Jul 11, 2022Contract runs through the 2024 season1 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 23%Dependence: Observed replacement path
MarJon BeauchampContract control horizonExact date supportedteam-and-market decisionMarJon Beauchamp has a reported contract-control horizon through the 2026 season. The June 30 date is a season-boundary planning proxy, not proof of exact free-agency status. No extension-review trigger is applied yet.
+Contract and evidence detail
Date basis: Contract control horizon visible free agency status unresolvedGuarantee at signing: Partially guaranteed at signing (58.0%)Guarantee review: Guarantee structure review exact decision date unavailableExtension review: not triggered — candidate date Jul 7, 2024Contract runs through the 2026 season3 controlled season(s) after the snapshotRotation share: 16%Dependence: Observed replacement path
What should trigger a review
Six separate review domains. They flag what deserves attention; none chooses a roster direction.BasketballSupported
MIL has 1 material basketball problem(s). This trigger asks whether the roster or internal development plan addresses them.
observed Jun 30, 2023
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 30.34result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 8near expirations: 6unique contracts: 7extension reviews: 6threshold position: At or above first apron no second apron thresholddraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 3veteran core salary share: 0.6025partial or zero guarantees: 3material basketball problems: 1repeated availability problems: 8
AvailabilitySupported
MIL has 8 repeated recent availability problem(s). This is a health/continuity review, not a player-value judgment.
observed Jun 30, 2023
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 30.34result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 8near expirations: 6unique contracts: 7extension reviews: 6threshold position: At or above first apron no second apron thresholddraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 3veteran core salary share: 0.6025partial or zero guarantees: 3material basketball problems: 1repeated availability problems: 8
Cap positionSupported
MIL is classified as at or above first apron no second apron threshold on selected player charges. Exact transaction-date legality remains a separate calculation.
observed Jun 30, 2023
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 30.34result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 8near expirations: 6unique contracts: 7extension reviews: 6threshold position: At or above first apron no second apron thresholddraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 3veteran core salary share: 0.6025partial or zero guarantees: 3material basketball problems: 1repeated availability problems: 8
Draft controlPartial
MIL has 3 dated future-pick control row(s), with status provisional future pick control tradability unresolved. Control is not confirmed tradability.
observed Jun 30, 2023
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 30.34result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 8near expirations: 6unique contracts: 7extension reviews: 6threshold position: At or above first apron no second apron thresholddraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 3veteran core salary share: 0.6025partial or zero guarantees: 3material basketball problems: 1repeated availability problems: 8
Contract calendarPartial
MIL has 8 near-term core contract event(s): 1 player option(s), 0 team option(s), and 6 horizon(s) within one season. 0 event date(s) remain unresolved.
observed Jun 30, 2023 · review by Jun 29, 2023
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 30.34result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 8near expirations: 6unique contracts: 7extension reviews: 6threshold position: At or above first apron no second apron thresholddraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 3veteran core salary share: 0.6025partial or zero guarantees: 3material basketball problems: 1repeated availability problems: 8
Competitive timelineSupported
MIL has elite regular season results results and a rotation-weighted core age of 30.3. The timeline trigger does not decide whether to contend or reset.
observed Jun 30, 2023
+Raw counts behind this trigger
core age: 30.34result band: Elite regular-season resultscore players: 11team options: 0player options: 1calendar events: 8near expirations: 6unique contracts: 7extension reviews: 6threshold position: At or above first apron no second apron thresholddraft control status: Provisional future pick control; tradability unresolvedunresolved event dates: 0future pick control rows: 3veteran core salary share: 0.6025partial or zero guarantees: 3material basketball problems: 1repeated availability problems: 8
A June 29 option date is a CBA outside date, not proof that the contract lacks an earlier negotiated deadline.
A June 30 contract horizon is a season-boundary planning proxy, not certified free-agent status.
An extension review trigger does not certify eligibility, price, player willingness or outcome.
Historical pick control is not confirmed tradability.
No trigger is an automatic recommendation.
The summary counts calendar events and exposes six separate trigger domains. It does not blend basketball, health, contracts, cap, draft, intent, legality, market value or outcomes into a score.
