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Toronto Raptors

2025-26
2016-172017-182018-192019-202020-212021-222022-232023-242024-252025-26
Latest available releaseEvidence released Aug 22, 2026, 8:30 PM UTCLive database

What are the Toronto Raptors in 2025-26, and what needs front-office attention?

TOR 2025-26: no supported structural problem was identified. The strongest covered areas were Creation, Passing connectivity, Rim pressure. The main rotation-player dependency cases were Jamal Shead, RJ Barrett, Sandro Mamukelashvili. Structural basketball need, injuries, replacement lineups, and financial constraints are reported separately.

CoverageSupported8 supported · 3 withheld
Cap positionTax to first apron on selected player charges
Next decision dateJun 29, 2026 · 12 events →

What can be trusted

Supported strengths — production, who carries it, and what money is already committed.
Creation
100th percentile
Scottie Barnes carries 27.2%
Availability: Absences repeatedly created a problemMoney: Heavy or redundant salary already committed here
Full reading

TOR 2025-26 Creation: this was a team strength; production ranked at the 100.0 league percentile. Scottie Barnes supplied 27.2% of the team's above-replacement production in this area. Absences created a shortage in 3 of the final 10 covered games. The team already committed substantial or redundant cap resources here.

Passing connectivity
96th percentile
Scottie Barnes carries 27.8%
Availability: Absences repeatedly created a problemMoney: Heavy or redundant salary already committed here
Full reading

TOR 2025-26 Passing connectivity: this was a team strength; production ranked at the 95.8 league percentile. Scottie Barnes supplied 27.8% of the team's above-replacement production in this area. Absences created a shortage in 3 of the final 10 covered games. The team already committed substantial or redundant cap resources here.

Rim pressure
88th percentile
Scottie Barnes carries 24.1%
Availability: Absences repeatedly created a problemMoney: Heavy or redundant salary already committed here
Full reading

TOR 2025-26 Rim pressure: this was a team strength; production ranked at the 87.5 league percentile. Scottie Barnes supplied 24.1% of the team's above-replacement production in this area. Absences created a shortage in 3 of the final 10 covered games. The team already committed substantial or redundant cap resources here.

What needs attention

The clearest roster problems the evidence supports.

No supported roster problems are on record for this season — full situation-room coverage available.

Every covered basketball function (11)
FunctionReadingLeague percentileLargest contributorRecent availabilitySalary commitment
CreationSupportedTeam strength100th percentileScottie Barnes · 27.2%Absences repeatedly created a problemHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Defensive event creationSupportedTeam strength79th percentileScottie Barnes · 28.0%Isolated availability problemBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Interior finishingSupportedMiddle of the league71st percentileScottie Barnes · 21.9%Absences repeatedly created a problemHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Passing connectivitySupportedTeam strength96th percentileScottie Barnes · 27.8%Absences repeatedly created a problemHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Point-of-attack defense proxyWithheldBasketball conclusion withheldBrandon IngramRecent availability conclusion withheldBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
ReboundingSupportedMiddle of the league50th percentileScottie Barnes · 36.0%Absences repeatedly created a problemHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Rim pressureSupportedTeam strength88th percentileScottie Barnes · 24.1%Absences repeatedly created a problemHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
Rim protectionSupportedMiddle of the league71st percentileScottie Barnes · 33.4%No repeated availability problemHeavy or redundant salary already committed here
ScreeningWithheldBasketball conclusion withheldBrandon IngramRecent availability conclusion withheldBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Shooting and spacingSupportedMiddle of the league29th percentileBrandon Ingram · 29.2%Absences repeatedly worsened an existing problemBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment
Switch coverage proxyWithheldBasketball conclusion withheldBrandon IngramRecent availability conclusion withheldBalanced or context-dependent salary commitment

Who the team depends on

What disappears when a player is removed — and whether an observed replacement five exists.
Jamal Shead
Lineup performance dependence

TOR lineups performed 3.6 points per 100 possessions better with Jamal Shead than without him. The best supported alternative was [Brandon Ingram, Jakob Poeltl, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes] over 685 possessions.

rotation 48%loses 19.2% of passing connectivity
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without Jamal Shead

Brandon Ingram · Jakob Poeltl · RJ Barrett · Immanuel Quickley · Scottie Barnes

shrunk net 4.329 over 685 possessions

on floor 3,610 possessions · off floor 4,071 possessions

RJ Barrett
Lineup performance dependence

TOR lineups performed 3.9 points per 100 possessions better with RJ Barrett than without him. The best supported alternative was [Brandon Ingram, Jakob Poeltl, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, Ja'Kobe Walter] over 156 possessions.

rotation 46%loses 19.6% of interior finishing
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without RJ Barrett

Brandon Ingram · Jakob Poeltl · Immanuel Quickley · Scottie Barnes · Ja'Kobe Walter

shrunk net 1.717 over 156 possessions — small sample

on floor 3,631 possessions · off floor 4,050 possessions

Sandro Mamukelashvili
Lineup performance dependence

TOR lineups performed 4.5 points per 100 possessions better with Sandro Mamukelashvili than without him. The best supported alternative was [Brandon Ingram, Jakob Poeltl, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes] over 685 possessions.

rotation 43%loses 13.9% of interior finishing
Replacement evidence
Best observed five without Sandro Mamukelashvili

Brandon Ingram · Jakob Poeltl · RJ Barrett · Immanuel Quickley · Scottie Barnes

shrunk net 4.329 over 685 possessions

on floor 3,275 possessions · off floor 4,406 possessions

Function loss, lineup performance, and replacement-lineup evidence remain separate; none is causal player value.

What injuries change

Recent absences and the basketball needs they created or worsened.
Shooting and spacing

Absences repeatedly worsened an existing problem

worsened in 8 of the final 10 covered games — mainly Brandon Ingram

Creation

Absences repeatedly created a problem

created in 3 of the final 10 covered games — mainly Brandon Ingram

Interior finishing

Absences repeatedly created a problem

created in 3 of the final 10 covered games — mainly Brandon Ingram

Passing connectivity

Absences repeatedly created a problem

created in 3 of the final 10 covered games — mainly Immanuel Quickley

Rebounding

Absences repeatedly created a problem

created in 3 of the final 10 covered games — mainly Brandon Ingram

Rim pressure

Absences repeatedly created a problem

created in 3 of the final 10 covered games — mainly RJ Barrett

Where money is tied up

Cap position and salary allocation — shown beside the basketball picture, never blended into it.
SupportedThe team was in the tax but below the first apron on selected player charges.
Selected player charges
$190.9M
Share of cap
123%
Tax line
$3.03M over
First apron
$5.02M under
Second apron
$16.9M under

Most salary is mapped to interior finishing; the highest-need area is shooting and spacing. Salary-to-function mapping covers 97% of charges.

Exact figures
Salary cap: $154,647,000Luxury tax line: $187,895,000First apron: $195,945,000Second apron: $207,824,000Selected player charges: $190,921,190Source-reported payroll: $191,608,832 (source-named payroll total; not relabeled as cash or cap)

Exact transaction legality withheld — no exception-usage, cap-hold, and transaction ledger evidence.

What the evidence cannot answer

Deliberate abstentions — where the database refuses a conclusion rather than guessing.
SupportedFull situation-room coverage available8 of 11 functions supported
  • Point-of-attack defense proxy: Basketball conclusion withheld
  • Screening: Basketball conclusion withheld
  • Switch coverage proxy: Basketball conclusion withheld

Exact transaction legality: Exact transaction legality withheld — no exception-usage, cap-hold, and transaction ledger evidence

Team-season situation report. Structural basketball quality, recent availability, player dependence, replacement lineups, and financial position remain separate. No acquisition recommendation, transaction grade, coaching grade, outcome claim, or causal value is inferred.